Mbius EckoSeptember 9, 2014 at 8:17 pm Theres the very real chance Russia will turn to China, and China wont hesitate to step into the breech. From what I have heard from non-Anglo News Sources, this may already be the case. War and the arming for war is the defining rationale behind the (dominant) Western Economies. (including Australia). Nevertheless, being a minister of parliament does demand a level of tact and discretion that was obviously lacking on the night in question and there has been some repercussions, but other than hurt feelings not much more seems to have eventuated an apology was forthcoming and all appears smooth again. As insulted as the Chinese community feels toward Palmer, his outburst was attributed to his frustration with the legal system, his dealings with some Chinese business people and when it all imploded, he drew in other societal elements. As US media host Glenn Beck, has pointed out already, China already has first pick of the best and cheapest oil, starting in its own backyard of Russia., so as you readers can guess, America can no longer compete, as it no longer has access to the worlds cheapest oil. Jacqui Lambie!! This factor, in the first instance is where there are ongoing and developing difficulties. And that was when I was a child !! They just borrow from a world voracious for dollars. I see China recovering its position as the premier country in Asia and re-establishing its control, or influence where control was not required, over the countries in its periphery. This is where I place Australia with regard to China (providing it stays on its current foreign policy/policies pathway). The heretofore hidden fears that reside alongside the mercantile arena of profit and the food bowl debates within the Asia-Pacific (A-P) have evolved into the public arena. AN AIRSTRIP in the arid Australian desert could be used for a full-scale invasion from China. Tensions between Australia and its biggest trading partner, China, drastically deteriorated last year when Prime Minister Scott Morrison called for an independent inquiry into the origins of. Sign up to the Daily Star's newsletter. "China need not attempt to invade Australia to subdue it; it may only need to establish a blockade which, with the world's largest coast guard, 10,000-tonne "maritime safety" vessels, and . This has been done with unconditional fiscal contributions (loans). Gosh and golly. You can upload: image, , video, , spreadsheet, interactive, text, archive, , . He said despite widespread panic at the time, and post-war mythologising, even in World War II we were in no serious danger of occupation. In the context of this analysis an attack includes an actual attempt to deploy adversarial offensive military power on Australias shores. [1] Jacqui Lambie refuses to apologise for warning of Chinese invasion. AAP/The Australian. Finally, the PLA seriously lacks operational combat experience, including in managing expeditionary operations. War is a fools game and China knows it. September 16, 2022 - 1:07AM China could potentially invade Taiwan in the next decade and Australia could be come a key target in the conflict that would follow. Australians must never forget how the 14 conditions delivered to Australia by China would change this nation forever. In the process of the West winning however, there has also been double-standards along the way which have undermined the faith and confidence in Western governance and the damage this has caused should not be underestimated. http://www.alternet.org/world/chomsky-americas-obsession-destroys-earths-climate. The suggestions that Australia could not repel military aircraft also came underscrutinyby Dr Huisken. It is safe to assume that in the event of a large-scale invasion of mainland Australia, the ADFs response capacity would be overstretched beyond any reasonable expectation of waging effective defensive operations. China could invade Taiwan later this year, top Navy officer warns By Caitlin Doornbos October 21, 2022 12:14pm Updated 0 of 58 secondsVolume 0% 00:00 00:58 China could invade Taiwan as. Who should take the blame for the current dismal outlook. Drop file here. Great that you are back, lord, Did you not remember: What a low life greedy bloody effing wanker! The power generation and water desalination plant, together with the bunker fuel capacity, provide the necessary logistics to provide a large ground force equipped with heavy equipment, he adds. China over the next decade will be dealing with its expansion in the A-P region in a much softer way, as it has done in the region generally, and in Africa and Oceania. *chuckle*. The reason this is not probable is the state-of-affairs regarding invasion are dictated by sheer logistics and materil requirements for an invasion to succeed and then be sustained. The World Economy. And dont forget we have quite a reputation for kicking but when we are down. Notify me of follow-up comments by email. Included in demanding of good governance from others there has been an acceptance of appalling behaviours from the West per se in favouring those that have served the needs of the West: Singapore and Saudi Arabia being leading examples of this phenomenon. We acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of country throughout Australia and their connections to land, sea and community. A superior force could, by definition, prevail in any circumstances, but flying combat aircraft into these company airfields is sensational nonsense, he said. Chinese support- and/or operated-bases are in their infancy and this will be the case for at least another decade and therefore an invasion would not be strategically viable. We use your sign-up to provide content in the ways you've consented to and improve our understanding of you. But its most chilling claim is around a small airport built in West Australias remote northwest. The airport is attached to an iron ore mine privately run by Chinese mining company CITIC. Chinas dominance is that of being a global geo-political and geo-strategic actor and thus, current preponderance in the A-P is only the first step, and an even stronger global military presence will follow. The Chinese government has set about actively creating a burgeoning middle-class in part to have a greater tax base, to extract people from gruelling, chronic poverty and to in general raise the living standards of citizens. So, I agree with your conclusion.. Great program on the War To End All Wars circa 1914-18 on ABC tonight. That sounds frightening!!! Driven by the need to close the capability gap with their Russian counterparts, with which the PLA trains regularly and takes its inspiration from, it will be some time before its Airborne Corps will be able to support long distance strategic assault operations. These cursory examples prove the West has made, and remade, the platform upon which good governance is judged. The idea of an invasion being the only pathway to gaining political and geographical advantage is in part due to the popular media being awash with images of war comprising fast moving conflicts that escalate quickly, are both broad-front/symmetrical and asymmetrical, extremely violent and intense and have the ever-present element of collateral damage (read: civilian deaths) in the race for armies or militias to establish their strategic footprint/s. Too many moving targets to make any sure fire predictions. China has over 1 Billion people !!! Australia must be willing to invade the Solomon Islands and topple its government if that's what is necessary to stop a proposed security pact between China and the Pacific nation going ahead . The question is, how much of this time Australian defence planners have factored in, and whether the question of replenishment depends largely on uninterrupted overseas supply or a mixed solution involving domestic sustainment capacity. The island of about 25 million people, backed by the US and Japan, broke away from the mainland in 1949 when the losers of its civil war fled Mao Zedong's brutal communist regime. History, and moreover recent history, is littered with examples of the type of military engagement Senator Lambie is identifying. Australia cut. Nations that acceded to British demands, either as a protectorate that was accorded all of the security and safety Britain could muster or, alternately, Britain used force. Try again. Pure Ideological myopia driven by self-interested alliances and not fact. It responded with an unprecedented wave of . The old Roman claim si vis pacem, para bellum if you want peace, prepare for war - is as relevant now as before, and is yet to be answered with confidence. Once again the making of such a statement can be given credence by observing that America is fiscally bankrupt to China, and owes the PRC trillions of dollars and the US would simply not risk China calling in its debt/s as this would devastate the US domestic economy. In the meantime China will continue to invade Australia from an economic perspective and this will have a triad attached: to enable China to exert influence on regional strategic partnerships; to establish China and A-P multilateral deals that actively encourage the use of the Renminbi (sometimes called the Yuan), as a source of collateral; and to pro-actively downgrade Australia-US military commitments and partnerships. [6] Paul Monk. Although detailed information about national stockpiles of munitions, critical spares, and fuel is not wholly open-source it is logical to expect that the ADF holds sufficient resources to engage in high tempo large scale operations for a certain period of time. Returning to the initial centrepiece of Lambies argument and notion of whether Australia is in danger of being invaded in the traditional sense of the term. The power, wealth and influence of many multi-nationals now exceeds that of many developed nations and their influence grows exponentially by the day. What the hell have we done? The question of fuel deposits, which has to be replenished regularly, remains. China snubs US proposal at ASEAN. The Age. With all the talk of hurting Russia economically a Western European expert said theres the very real chance Russia will turn to China, and China wont hesitate to step into the breech. Trillions of dollars would be dumped on the global market in a very short time, which would lower the dollars foreign exchange value in a disruptive rather than advantageous way, raise domestic US interest rates and make it vastly harder for them to bully the rest of the world economically or militarily. Firstly, China has insufficient capacity to wage long distance assault operations. Copyright The Australian Independent Media Network 2014-2022 ABN: 44313698183. It can also enhance themoral readiness and the determination of troops to fight and win under any circumstances, including unfavourable battle conditions (for example, in the absence of air superiority or sustained logistics). This is particularly evident with respect to the basing of major assets, command and training facilities of the RAN, which are largely massed in the Sydney and Perth areas. We pay our respect to Elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples. Many are asking what lessons China is drawing from Russia's invasion of Ukraine for its own plans to bring Taiwan to heel. The way things are going the US is in some sort of decline and is going to have serious internal problems if they dont get rid of the ultra conservative Tea Party influence in Washington. Also our most northern city, Darwin (or Wolf Creek) is a complete joke ! One thing is for sure, China does not need to invade Australia. China knows America is getting weaker by the day, owns most of the US debt and will demand America to pay back the debt or China will cripple America economically (no more cheap loans). You can donate through PayPal or credit card via the button below, or donate via bank transfer: Your email address will not be published. In short, Senator Lambies outburst is largely accurate, premature perhaps, but based on British and American preponderance, accurate nevertheless. Strategic defence expert Ron Huisken labelled it sensational nonsense and rather tacky scaremongering. But is it? thank goodness Irvine is retiring before he starts some form of Hitler Youth thing to spy on their neighbours. Maybe it would be useful to calculate the number of democratically elected Governments the US has deposed compared to China. Recently the Obama administration has gone to great lengths to reassure Australia it is committed to keeping a geo-strategic and political presence in the region with a recent visit by Secretary of State Kerry and a reiteration of wanting to rebalance Asia. Dr. Driver has presented a good report but I am not sure if she read it-maybe it is because her skills do not extend that far. Among them are the following (but not necessarily in this exact order): The ADF is a highly trained and combat experienced battle force, which continuously invests in acquiring advanced military capabilities that enable it to operate across all current and emerging battle domains. Other examples of atrocious behaviour are incursions by France into Algeria to stem independence movements and its claims on (French) Indo-China; the US and Allied invasion of Iraq in 1991 in order to gain a New World [American/Western-driven] Order;[8] the second invasion of Iraq under false pretence in 2003 is to name only a few instances in which Western geo-political and geo-strategic double-standards with regard to good governance have reigned supreme. Similarly, China can regularise and intensify cyber-attacks on Australian key assets to cause more disruption and inflict more damage. Whoops that cant be right. Is Australia really in danger of being invaded? The most astonishing assertion by one analyst was that "Australia has a fundamental strategic pathology - to support the interests of the U.S. at the expense of our own. Francis Fukuyama would deem the collapse of communism to be the end of history,[7] which translates in simpler terms, to liberal-democracy as a form of government winning against communism. From the big bad Toniorists. In the context of the Chinese hypothetical invasion threat, two problem factors can be identified: the fighting force and the question of endurance. Chinas Per-Capita GDP has Led to a Drastic Reduction in Poverty., http://www.gallup.com/poll/166565/one-five-worldwide-living-extreme-poverty.aspx, [12] Jemima Garrett and staff. We have been and unfortunately probably will continue to sell it to them. A new survey released Tuesday by the Lowy Institute, a foreign policy research group, found only a slim majority of Australians supported military action in the event of a Chinese invasion of . China to INVADE Australia? One upshot of her comment/s is that the military rise of China is now out in the public sphere and the massive impact this will have on Australia is finally beyond the hallways of the Department of Defence in Canberra. Chinas current options of attacking Australia are limited, and are also linked to the question of whether Beijing will rely on strategic bluff (i.e whether it assumes no retaliation will come its way). As the late ex-PM, Mr Fraser warned us, dont count on America in saving Australia, from an potential attack from China, America can no longer even save itself ! China will be a vastly different case to what the West has previously encountered and then dominated, as it has adopted the Wests interests in being a regional as well as global controller and therefore the case of China is completely different than what has gone before in the power-stakes of the twentieth century. As part of national preparedness response options at strategic, operational and tactical levels need to be considered. The way in which this has happened includes both military and political realms: the forcing of democracy on Japan at the end of World War Two (WWII) by the US and Allied powers; winning the Korean War by United Nations forces; and the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1989. New York: Monthly Review Press, 2002, 217. Historical Statistics. Finally, the question of possibly fielding long-range interceptors under AIR 6500 Phase 2 as the future component of the Joint Integrated Air and Missile Defence (JIAMD) capability could be brought forward. For, In the world of Deputy Opposition Leader Sussan Ley, the Albanese Governments, From African gang violence to persecuted white South African farmers, Peter Dutton. How did it satisfy the demands of its ever-growing middle-classes? great commentary, thankyou for your input one and all. Australia also has rare earths and God knows what PNG has still yet? Fairfax Media: Melbourne, 11 August, 2011, 13. Thats the bizarre claim used in a political advert from the United Australia Party. Domestic harmony is also part of the PRCs aim. As he put it, "It's not been an easy decision for me but it is. Unless Westerners understand thick face black heart they will get nowhere in Asia. The US, their nemesis in the Great Game, is diminished. Now, try to find out where all our Gold and other more precious commodities have been going and then why our Conservative US backed Governments have sold out our Reserves? All of these instances have had the enduring effect of proving Western liberal-democracy is the most venerable and robust of all governments and governance. As the decade toward 2025 grinds on the massive influence China will have will cause the displacement of Australias and as such, the Chinese will not automatically accept Australias definitions of how the A-P should be controlled: this will cause problems. The petrodollar became the currency in which oil and most other goods were traded internationally, requiring every central bank and major corporation to hold a lot of dollars and cementing the greenbacks status as the worlds reserve currency. [5] Andrew Browne. As at 2001 Chinas population comprised approximately 21% of the world. This is the real war. Also, America will be tormented with fiscal and political problems in the next two decades which will continue to render an already war-weary nation to be dubious about entering another war. British and American preponderance, accurate nevertheless too many moving targets to make any sure predictions. 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